Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 12.519274 14.083931 15.853296 18.020238 20.627312 23.695118 27.627049
2025-05-11 10.701293 12.714448 15.180004 18.483351 22.892427 28.728159 37.318005
2025-05-18 9.386328 11.533991 14.299651 18.229954 23.863902 31.985421 45.296703
2025-05-25 8.453281 10.657681 13.608796 18.004197 24.686743 35.053746 53.790179
2025-06-01 7.781576 10.024095 13.126647 17.939732 25.652414 38.460697 63.928365
2025-06-08 7.121454 9.325507 12.453108 17.462872 25.838082 40.557549 72.368570
2025-06-15 6.687311 8.898660 12.116029 17.437821 26.729946 44.069731 85.168245
2025-06-22 6.133263 8.247566 11.374827 16.659885 26.165328 44.662946 91.561685
2025-06-29 5.634167 7.640308 10.647126 15.818054 25.347914 44.558141 96.198532
2025-07-06 5.257822 7.191440 10.129232 15.273680 25.000870 45.362567 103.756236
2025-07-13 5.384186 7.514228 10.856260 16.968885 29.279281 57.646924 154.598220
2025-07-20 5.272583 7.455075 10.952104 17.536266 31.381238 65.550047 199.318115
2025-07-27 4.942836 7.038683 10.435766 16.935375 30.939616 66.904773 219.961907
2025-08-03 4.814374 6.939485 10.452790 17.365150 32.914290 75.846058 290.645902
2025-08-10 4.592857 6.672277 10.154470 17.132570 33.288971 80.186266 344.830241
2025-08-17 4.394699 6.431650 9.884364 16.925647 33.689957 84.830673 412.630361
2025-08-24 4.234293 6.244756 9.696187 16.866533 34.457837 91.144534 513.712560
2025-08-31 4.034148 5.979482 9.346999 16.429044 34.155244 93.458163 587.157697
2025-09-07 3.904296 5.827851 9.196882 16.406050 34.977219 100.628499 751.557563
2025-09-14 3.694087 5.527387 8.751293 15.691425 33.750205 98.856036 788.569605
2025-09-21 3.488854 5.227897 8.293492 14.916840 32.256983 95.528774 794.364423
2025-09-28 3.329904 5.003486 7.967325 14.415230 31.494435 95.277394 860.758210
2025-10-05 3.428222 5.234921 8.522519 15.975410 37.171264 128.908253 2193.401527